Jardine Strategic - A Margin of Safety?

If you have read James Clavells books like TaiPan then you will love the Jardine group.

For the background see
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4158/is_20010620/ai_n14393712/pg_1
and
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jardine_Matheson_Holdings

I own Jardine strategic holdings, bought for its discount to Net Asset Value (NAV as reported in the balance sheet). It had turned up in a ROE/PTB screen I mentioned in an earlier post.

Some recent news.
Jardine Matheson the other jardine company said
"shareholders in Jardine Strategic are being invited to tender Jardine Strategic shares in the range of US$14.00 to US$14.50 per share representing a premium of up to 9.5 per cent. over the average closing price of the shares"

Source http://202.66.146.82/listco/sg/jm/press/p070815.pdf

and

"Net asset value per share up 27% to US$24.69"

Source http://202.66.146.82/listco/sg/jsh/interim/2007/int.pdf

So put simply the offer is at USD 14.5 - a big discount to the USD 24
NAV of Jardine strategic. An unacceptable offer, I am not handing in my shares. But maybe this is simply an ploy by the owners to prop up the price of Jardine strategic to prevent a raider from getting a big stake. The price has certainly risen to the offer price though I doubt anyone investing from the business perspective will sell at the offer price as it is below NAV.

So what you have is company growing in Asia available at a discount to NAV and it will not fall much more because of the buyback offer at 14-14.5USD - a margin of saftey. Right now it is trading around 13.5USD - 1$ less than the top of the offer range.